Napredak u proceni rizika nasilja u funkciji penalne prakse
Advances in violence risk assessment in penal practice function
Authors
Jovanić, Goran
Žunić-Pavlović, Vesna

Petrović, Vera

Contributors
Vuković MileOdović Gordana

Conference object (Published version)
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Show full item recordAbstract
Procena rizika nasilnog ponašanja ima značaja u sudskom postupku opredeljivanja
za izricanje zatvorske, odnosno alternativne kazne, a u penalnim uslovima pri-
likom primarne klasifikacije, sačinjavanja programa postupanja, u određivanju
nivoa izolacije i segregacije unutar zatvora, tokom evaluacionih postupaka i
konačno u opredeljenju da li preporučiti uslovni otpust konkretnom osuđenom,
s obzirom na mogućnost ponovnog ugrožavanja drugih po izlasku na slobodu.
Prvobitne procene rizika nasilja kod osuđenih sačinjavane su od strane psi-
hologa i psihijatara, ali se tokom osamdesetih godina HH veka pokazalo da su
pouzdane samo u trećini slučajeva. Devedesete godine prošlog veka donele su na-
predak u tehnikama procene, tako da je pouzdanost procene kratkoročnog rizika
porasla na jednu polovinu, dok se kod dugoročnih procena, pouzdanost zadržala
na trećini tačnih prognoza. Vremenom su usavršavani instrumenti procene
nasilnog ponašanja do aktuelno visokog nivoa preciznosti, prek...o 80% tačnih
prognoza.
Violent behavior risk assessment has its
significance in judicial proceedings of
choosing between sentencing one to a prison
or alternative punishment, whereas in penal
conditions its importance lies during the
initial classification, treatment program
creation, determining the level of isolation
and segregation within the prison, in the
course of evaluation procedures and finally
in decision making process of whether
a convict should be sent on parole when
possibility of repeated threat to others after
the release is taken into account. The original
violent behavior risk assessments in convicts
used to be conducted by psychologists and
psychiatrists; however, they were shown
to be reliable only in the third of the cases
in the eighties. The nineties brought upon
advancements in the assessment techniques,
thus the short-term risk reliability levels rose
to a half of the cases, even though it remained
at the level of a third of the correct prognosis
in long term as...sessments. In time, violent
behavior risk assessment instruments have
been improved to the currently high precision
levels of over 80% of accurate assessments.
Source:
Zbornik radova - Nacionalni naučni skup „Metode procene u specijalnoj edukaciji i rehabilitaciji”, Beograd,Srbija, 24. decembar 2018., 2018, 107-113Publisher:
- Univerzitet u Beogradu – Fakultet za specijalnu edukaciju i rehabilitaciju/ University of Belgrade – Faculty of Special Education and Rehabilitation
Funding / projects:
- Crime in Serbia: Phenomenology, Risks and Possibilities of Social Intervention (RS-47011)
- Social participation of persons with intellectual disabilities (RS-179017)
Collections
Institution/Community
rFASPERTY - CONF AU - Jovanić, Goran AU - Žunić-Pavlović, Vesna AU - Petrović, Vera PY - 2018 UR - http://rfasper.fasper.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/2943 AB - Procena rizika nasilnog ponašanja ima značaja u sudskom postupku opredeljivanja za izricanje zatvorske, odnosno alternativne kazne, a u penalnim uslovima pri- likom primarne klasifikacije, sačinjavanja programa postupanja, u određivanju nivoa izolacije i segregacije unutar zatvora, tokom evaluacionih postupaka i konačno u opredeljenju da li preporučiti uslovni otpust konkretnom osuđenom, s obzirom na mogućnost ponovnog ugrožavanja drugih po izlasku na slobodu. Prvobitne procene rizika nasilja kod osuđenih sačinjavane su od strane psi- hologa i psihijatara, ali se tokom osamdesetih godina HH veka pokazalo da su pouzdane samo u trećini slučajeva. Devedesete godine prošlog veka donele su na- predak u tehnikama procene, tako da je pouzdanost procene kratkoročnog rizika porasla na jednu polovinu, dok se kod dugoročnih procena, pouzdanost zadržala na trećini tačnih prognoza. Vremenom su usavršavani instrumenti procene nasilnog ponašanja do aktuelno visokog nivoa preciznosti, preko 80% tačnih prognoza. AB - Violent behavior risk assessment has its significance in judicial proceedings of choosing between sentencing one to a prison or alternative punishment, whereas in penal conditions its importance lies during the initial classification, treatment program creation, determining the level of isolation and segregation within the prison, in the course of evaluation procedures and finally in decision making process of whether a convict should be sent on parole when possibility of repeated threat to others after the release is taken into account. The original violent behavior risk assessments in convicts used to be conducted by psychologists and psychiatrists; however, they were shown to be reliable only in the third of the cases in the eighties. The nineties brought upon advancements in the assessment techniques, thus the short-term risk reliability levels rose to a half of the cases, even though it remained at the level of a third of the correct prognosis in long term assessments. In time, violent behavior risk assessment instruments have been improved to the currently high precision levels of over 80% of accurate assessments. PB - Univerzitet u Beogradu – Fakultet za specijalnu edukaciju i rehabilitaciju/ University of Belgrade – Faculty of Special Education and Rehabilitation C3 - Zbornik radova - Nacionalni naučni skup „Metode procene u specijalnoj edukaciji i rehabilitaciji”, Beograd,Srbija, 24. decembar 2018. T1 - Napredak u proceni rizika nasilja u funkciji penalne prakse T1 - Advances in violence risk assessment in penal practice function EP - 113 SP - 107 UR - https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_rfasper_2943 ER -
@conference{ author = "Jovanić, Goran and Žunić-Pavlović, Vesna and Petrović, Vera", year = "2018", abstract = "Procena rizika nasilnog ponašanja ima značaja u sudskom postupku opredeljivanja za izricanje zatvorske, odnosno alternativne kazne, a u penalnim uslovima pri- likom primarne klasifikacije, sačinjavanja programa postupanja, u određivanju nivoa izolacije i segregacije unutar zatvora, tokom evaluacionih postupaka i konačno u opredeljenju da li preporučiti uslovni otpust konkretnom osuđenom, s obzirom na mogućnost ponovnog ugrožavanja drugih po izlasku na slobodu. Prvobitne procene rizika nasilja kod osuđenih sačinjavane su od strane psi- hologa i psihijatara, ali se tokom osamdesetih godina HH veka pokazalo da su pouzdane samo u trećini slučajeva. Devedesete godine prošlog veka donele su na- predak u tehnikama procene, tako da je pouzdanost procene kratkoročnog rizika porasla na jednu polovinu, dok se kod dugoročnih procena, pouzdanost zadržala na trećini tačnih prognoza. Vremenom su usavršavani instrumenti procene nasilnog ponašanja do aktuelno visokog nivoa preciznosti, preko 80% tačnih prognoza., Violent behavior risk assessment has its significance in judicial proceedings of choosing between sentencing one to a prison or alternative punishment, whereas in penal conditions its importance lies during the initial classification, treatment program creation, determining the level of isolation and segregation within the prison, in the course of evaluation procedures and finally in decision making process of whether a convict should be sent on parole when possibility of repeated threat to others after the release is taken into account. The original violent behavior risk assessments in convicts used to be conducted by psychologists and psychiatrists; however, they were shown to be reliable only in the third of the cases in the eighties. The nineties brought upon advancements in the assessment techniques, thus the short-term risk reliability levels rose to a half of the cases, even though it remained at the level of a third of the correct prognosis in long term assessments. In time, violent behavior risk assessment instruments have been improved to the currently high precision levels of over 80% of accurate assessments.", publisher = "Univerzitet u Beogradu – Fakultet za specijalnu edukaciju i rehabilitaciju/ University of Belgrade – Faculty of Special Education and Rehabilitation", journal = "Zbornik radova - Nacionalni naučni skup „Metode procene u specijalnoj edukaciji i rehabilitaciji”, Beograd,Srbija, 24. decembar 2018.", title = "Napredak u proceni rizika nasilja u funkciji penalne prakse, Advances in violence risk assessment in penal practice function", pages = "113-107", url = "https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_rfasper_2943" }
Jovanić, G., Žunić-Pavlović, V.,& Petrović, V.. (2018). Napredak u proceni rizika nasilja u funkciji penalne prakse. in Zbornik radova - Nacionalni naučni skup „Metode procene u specijalnoj edukaciji i rehabilitaciji”, Beograd,Srbija, 24. decembar 2018. Univerzitet u Beogradu – Fakultet za specijalnu edukaciju i rehabilitaciju/ University of Belgrade – Faculty of Special Education and Rehabilitation., 107-113. https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_rfasper_2943
Jovanić G, Žunić-Pavlović V, Petrović V. Napredak u proceni rizika nasilja u funkciji penalne prakse. in Zbornik radova - Nacionalni naučni skup „Metode procene u specijalnoj edukaciji i rehabilitaciji”, Beograd,Srbija, 24. decembar 2018.. 2018;:107-113. https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_rfasper_2943 .
Jovanić, Goran, Žunić-Pavlović, Vesna, Petrović, Vera, "Napredak u proceni rizika nasilja u funkciji penalne prakse" in Zbornik radova - Nacionalni naučni skup „Metode procene u specijalnoj edukaciji i rehabilitaciji”, Beograd,Srbija, 24. decembar 2018. (2018):107-113, https://hdl.handle.net/21.15107/rcub_rfasper_2943 .